فعالية الإنذار المبكر للأزمات الاقتصادية: تحليل مؤشر الإنذار المبكر للقطاع الحقيقي في ليبيا 2010-2020

Abstract EN

Crises, whatever their type and size, result in a series of negative aspects on society and the economy, so the early warning system has become an urgent necessity that requires its adoption by countries to take preventive measures and measures that work to avoid the occurrence of the crisis and reduce its negative effects.

the study aims to analyze the current real sector situation in Libya by using early warning indicators for economic crises to show what these indicators are heading during the period (2010-2020), and what should be taken to remedy the situation.

the deductive approach was followed, and the study found that there is a clear fluctuation in the indicators of the real sector, such as GDP, the inflation index, CPI, and economic exposure.

concluded, the need to diversify the economy and transform into a multi-source production economy for sustainable income in financing the public budget, which positively affects other economic indicators and will dramatically reduce the impact of crises.