Potential impact of covid 19 pandemic on spatial tourism development in Africa : South Africa case study

Abstract EN

Objective: the study aim is to examine temporal changes of infection rate and recovery rate, analyze the spatial patterns of these rates and addressing the causes of the COVID 19 pandemic,and determine the potential impact of the COVID 19 pandemic on foreign direct investment, personal remittances, and tourism development.

Methods: The study relied on the fundamental and regional approach in geographical studies and case study approach, benefited from a SIR model.

A variety of statistical analyzes and overlay analysis in ARCGIS software.

Results: the study has shown that infection rates are less than recovery rates, and this means they are on the way to recovery.

Central Africa was the first region in Africa to recover from infectious levels, COVID 19 is spatially concentrated in the Namibia and Lesotho, Egypt, and Libya.

Conclusion: The study concluded that COVID 19 will have a negative impact on African countries: Egypt, South Africa, Morocco, Tunisia, Ethiopia, and Nigeria.

Overlay’s analysis revealed that the countries most affected by COVID 19 are Egypt, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa.