أثر هيكل الواردات السلعية على النمو الاقتصادي في مصر والأردن

Abstract EN

The study aimed to measure the impact of the structure of merchandise imports on the growth of per capita GDP in both Egypt and Jordan using quarterly data for the period (2000Q-2020Q).

by using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and bounds testing approach, those variables, in the long term and short-term relationships has been studied through the error correction model (ECM).

those tests showed the illogicality of the relationship between the variables and the independent variable in the long term in the state of Jordan, but they showed the existence of logical integration relationships in Egypt model that differ according to each variable, while the short-term parameters were negative and significant in the two models.

the error correction coefficient from the short to long-term was 4.5% in Egypt model and was 2% in Jordan model.