تشخيص النمط الإيقاعي للحركة الحضرية وعلاقته بتفشي كورونا فايروس ضمن البيئات المحلية

Abstract EN

This study aims to take advantage of the lessons provided by Coronavirus pandemic, to enable decision makers to develop resilient and effective procedures and measures to facing epidemics, Commensurate with the daily lifestyle of the residents, to make these measures more effective instead of being general recommendations far of reality.

And that according to a better understanding of urban mobility patterns, and its relation to the closure and Opening policies, and Mobility Restriction Policies that are taken during health crises and infectious epidemics.

Thus, it has directed to determine and analyze the rhythmic pattern of the urban mobility of the residents, trying to measure human activity within urban environment, by investigating the urban experience which occurs during daily movement, through a questionnaire.

The results showed that the rhythmic pattern of urban mobility correlates with the continuity of infections, with a strong direct relation.

And by using the multiple linear regression model, a model was reached to predict the continuity of the epidemic according to the spatial and temporal context of the rhythmic pattern of urban mobility, but we can't be consider this prediction model a general model and valid at all times and places, so it can't be applied directly in other place and other time, before examination and calibration, as the results will be completely different.

Here, we can refer that more studies are needed to understand the differences.