Using climate scenarios to influence temperature on aedes albopictus mosquito over the city of al Bayda, Libya

Abstract EN

The world highlights climate changes using several scenarios that are used in this study.

the RCP45 and RCP85 scenarios were used to examine the annual effect of temperature on the quantities of disease-carrying aedes albopictus mosquitoes from the period 1986-2085, as they were found in humid and low-temperature places, and since the city of Al Bayda has a dense vegetation cover, it became clear that the aedes albopictus mosquitoes reproduce in the environment.

on the other hand, it is concentrated in the north more than in the south of the city due to the cooling of temperatures in the north of the city overlooking the sea.

through statistical analysis, it was found that there is a strong negative correlation between temperature and aedes albopictus mosquitoes, reaching -0.819, -0.814 for the RCP45 and RCP85 scenarios respectively.