Forecasting and management of water demand in al-Balqa governorate in Jordan

Other Title(s)

التنبؤ و إدارة الطلب على المياه في محافظة البلقاء في الأردن

Dissertant

al-Nusur, Muawiyah Ahmad Muhammad

Thesis advisor

Ijam, Abbas Zaki Ulwan

Comitee Members

Shawaqifah, Muayyad Samih
al-Khatatbeh, Ahmad Ali
al-Masalihah, Tharwat Muhammad

University

Mutah University

Faculty

Faculty of Business

Department

Department of Business Administration and Marketing

University Country

Jordan

Degree

Master

Degree Date

2011

English Abstract

-Water Demand Management is considered one of the issues that must be within the first priorities in Jordan, for its role in the future thinking about the water policies, and setting the appropriate plans that ensure providing the best solutions and alternatives to face serious risks which might face the country in this regard, as Jordan is considered one of the poorest four countries in the world in water. The model for forecasting water demand has been constructed for municipalities purposes in Al-Balqa governorate using the time series analysis model from historical data for the period (1990-2010).

In this study, the historical data is used for water demand forecasting in Al-Balqa governorate, considered are yearly and monthly water consumption and data about socioeconomic factors such as population, improving the standards of life, climatic factors such as yearly and monthly precipitation and monthly temperature, as the forecasting was connected with these independent factors by using the statistical package for the social sciences (SPSS).

The historical data can be employed by time series model of monthly municipal water use, for the periods (1990-2010) to verify the model, so the results give the model sort of reassurance to predict future water demand. The current study employed cascade model in the analysis of historical data, to predict future water demand for the period (2011-2020). The study found that the increasing of population which will reach 545010 inhabitants in 2020, and the increase in temperature degrees are behind the large demand of water in the future which will reach 55.62 million cubic meter in 2020, which was 27.69 in 2010. The study recommended the necessity to intensify the managerial procedures to avoid such difficulties that face water sector, through various methods and means such as employment of media and awareness of citizens about the importance of preserving water, limiting its depletion and encourage birth regulation, in addition the coordination between both public and private sectors to exchange the efforts for using the best managerial and technical procedures in order to achieve the water security on the country's level.

Main Subjects

Business Administration

Topics

• Management
• Water resources management
• Water supply
• Jordan
• Balqa

No. of Pages

98

Table of Contents

• APA
• MLA
• AMA

Language

English

Data Type

Arab Theses

Record ID

BIM-304911