Numerical simulation of a severe cold and rainy event over The East Mediterranean

Abstract EN

The separation factor method is a simple approach used with the numerical model simulations to isolate the main effect of some prescribed factors affecting the formation and development of an event in the atmosphere.

It is also used to isolate the effects of two or more interacting factors.

In this study the effect of an increase of the sea surface temperature and a decrease of upper wind on the formation and development of an east Mediterranean cyclone is studied.

The results indicate that the upper wind is the dominant factor compared to the sea surface temperature in the cyclogenesis.