Short term forecasting of sulfate concentrations in Baghdad
Joint Authors
al-Suhaili, Rafi Hashim Shakir
Barzanji, Shuwan J. I.
Source
Issue
Vol. 14, Issue 2 (30 Jun. 2008), pp.2430-2441, 12 p.
Publisher
University of Baghdad College of Engineering
Publication Date
2008-06-30
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
12
Main Subjects
Engineering & Technology Sciences (Multidisciplinary)
Topics
Abstract EN
Water quality control is an important protection issue.
The analysis of the water quality parameters and the prediction of their changes in future, are important in the planning for water pollution control program.
This analysis and prediction are the important steps and functions that the environmental engineer must perform.
In this study, time series analysis was applied to model a short term forecasting for the minimum and the maximum values for both raw and produced water of Sulfate concentrations at seven water treatment plants serving Baghdad city (Karkh, Sharq Dijlah, Karama, Wathba, Qadisiya, Dora, and Rasheed).
Holt-Winters' method was used for the modeling.
Three years (2001-2003) were used for building the model and the year (2004) was used for the verification, to check the model acceptability.
Comparisons by (t-test) and (F-test) between means and variances of the observed concentrations and these generated by the Holt-Winters' model had reflected the applicability of this model.
Hence, in future for operation purposes, it can be use for forecasting Sulfate concentrations.
Visual Basic Application (VBA) software was built for this short-term forecasting model.
This software was built in away, which allows an automatic updating of the model parameters.
Adding additional observed data usually performs the updating of such model.
American Psychological Association (APA)
al-Suhaili, Rafi Hashim Shakir& Barzanji, Shuwan J. I.. 2008. Short term forecasting of sulfate concentrations in Baghdad. Journal of Engineering،Vol. 14, no. 2, pp.2430-2441.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-332276
Modern Language Association (MLA)
al-Suhaili, Rafi Hashim Shakir& Barzanji, Shuwan J. I.. Short term forecasting of sulfate concentrations in Baghdad. Journal of Engineering Vol. 14, no. 2 (Jun. 2008), pp.2430-2441.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-332276
American Medical Association (AMA)
al-Suhaili, Rafi Hashim Shakir& Barzanji, Shuwan J. I.. Short term forecasting of sulfate concentrations in Baghdad. Journal of Engineering. 2008. Vol. 14, no. 2, pp.2430-2441.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-332276
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 2440-2441
Record ID
BIM-332276