Rainfall-Altitude Relationship in Saudi Arabia

Abstract EN

Relations between rainfall and the altitude of the terrain can have significant implications for rainfall-runoff studies in hydrology.

The aim of this paper is to report on a study of relationships between annual and seasonal rainfall and the altitude of the terrain in Saudi Arabia (SA) using global ordinary least square (OLS) and local geographically weighted regression (GWR) methods.

Results using the OLS method showed a significant correlation between altitude and spring rainfall, with a coefficient of determination of r2=0.54, P<.05 but no significant correlation for the annual and other seasons’ rainfalls.

The relationships were more pronounced when GWR local analysis was performed with coefficients of determination of r2=0.78, 0.64, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.71 for annual, winter, spring, summer, and fall rainfalls, respectively.

There was some variation in the parameter estimates derived with GWR, but the majority of the estimates indicated a positive association.

Results from this study corroborate those of selected other studies in which rainfall and altitude were found to be correlated spatially.

The authors concluded that the use of a nonstationary local model such as GWR enabled them to provide a deeper explanation of relations between rainfall and the altitude of the terrain than a global model such as OLS in terms of spatial estimation and prediction.