The Interdependence between Rainfall and Temperature : Copula Analyses
Joint Authors
Source
Issue
Vol. 2012, Issue 2012 (31 Dec. 2012), pp.1-11, 11 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2012-11-13
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Natural & Life Sciences (Multidisciplinary)
Medicine
Information Technology and Computer Science
Abstract EN
Rainfall and temperature are important climatic inputs for agricultural production, especially in the context of climate change.
However, accurate analysis and simulation of the joint distribution of rainfall and temperature are difficult due to possible interdependence between them.
As one possible approach to this problem, five families of copula models are employed to model the interdependence between rainfall and temperature.
Scania is a leading agricultural province in Sweden and is affected by a maritime climate.
Historical climatic data for Scania is used to demonstrate the modeling process.
Heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation of sample data are also considered to eliminate the possibility of observation error.
The results indicate that for Scania there are negative correlations between rainfall and temperature for the months from April to July and September.
The student copula is found to be most suitable to model the bivariate distribution of rainfall and temperature based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC).
Using the student copula, we simulate temperature and rainfall simultaneously.
The resulting models can be integrated with research on agricultural production and planning to study the effects of changing climate on crop yields.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Cong, Rong-Gang& Brady, Mark. 2012. The Interdependence between Rainfall and Temperature : Copula Analyses. The Scientific World Journal،Vol. 2012, no. 2012, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-469491
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Cong, Rong-Gang& Brady, Mark. The Interdependence between Rainfall and Temperature : Copula Analyses. The Scientific World Journal No. 2012 (2012), pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-469491
American Medical Association (AMA)
Cong, Rong-Gang& Brady, Mark. The Interdependence between Rainfall and Temperature : Copula Analyses. The Scientific World Journal. 2012. Vol. 2012, no. 2012, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-469491
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-469491