What Are the Economic and Labour Market Effects of an Income Tax Reduction Targeted at Older Workers?

Abstract EN

This paper explores the economic and labour market effects of implementing a tax reduction targeted at older workers.

The analysis is conducted with a life-cycle computable general equilibrium model calibrated on Canadian data.

The analysis shows that implementing a permanent income tax reduction for workers aged 60 and over has only small macroeconomic effects because the labour supply increase of older workers is partly offset by a reduction in the labour supply at core ages.

This induced effect also discourages savings and generates crowding out through private investment but has a favourable impact on lifetime economic welfare.

The macroeconomic impact is much larger when the income tax reduction is temporary because workers no longer reduce their hours at core ages and there is no reduction in savings.

However, since only current middle-aged and older workers benefit from the tax cut, a temporary income tax cut reduces intergenerational equity.