Predictive and Reactive Distribution of Vaccines and Antivirals during Cross-Regional Pandemic Outbreaks
Joint Authors
Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés
Savachkin, Alex
Source
Influenza Research and Treatment
Issue
Vol. 2011, Issue 2011 (31 Dec. 2011), pp.1-14, 14 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2011-06-05
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
14
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
As recently pointed out by the Institute of Medicine, the existing pandemic mitigation models lack the dynamic decision support capability.
We develop a large-scale simulation-driven optimization model for generating dynamic predictive distribution of vaccines and antivirals over a network of regional pandemic outbreaks.
The model incorporates measures of morbidity, mortality, and social distancing, translated into the cost of lost productivity and medical expenses.
The performance of the strategy is compared to that of the reactive myopic policy, using a sample outbreak in Fla, USA, with an affected population of over four millions.
The comparison is implemented at different levels of vaccine and antiviral availability and administration capacity.
Sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the impact of variability of some critical factors on policy performance.
The model is intended to support public health policy making for effective distribution of limited mitigation resources.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés& Savachkin, Alex. 2011. Predictive and Reactive Distribution of Vaccines and Antivirals during Cross-Regional Pandemic Outbreaks. Influenza Research and Treatment،Vol. 2011, no. 2011, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-482338
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés& Savachkin, Alex. Predictive and Reactive Distribution of Vaccines and Antivirals during Cross-Regional Pandemic Outbreaks. Influenza Research and Treatment No. 2011 (2011), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-482338
American Medical Association (AMA)
Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés& Savachkin, Alex. Predictive and Reactive Distribution of Vaccines and Antivirals during Cross-Regional Pandemic Outbreaks. Influenza Research and Treatment. 2011. Vol. 2011, no. 2011, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-482338
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-482338