Observer-Based Vaccination Strategy for a True Mass Action SEIR Epidemic Model with Potential Estimation of All the Populations

Abstract EN

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model.

The model takes into account the total population amounts as a refrain for the illness transmission since its increase makes more difficult contacts among the susceptible and infected.

The control objective is the asymptotically tracking of the removed-by-immunity population to the total population while achieving simultaneously the remaining population (i.e., susceptible plus infected plus infectious) to asymptotically converge to zero.

A state observer is used to estimate the true various partial populations of the susceptible, infected, infectious, and immune which are assumed to be unknown.

The model parameters are also assumed to be, in general, unknown.

In this case, the parameters are replaced by available estimates to implement the vaccination action.