A Predictive Model for Daily Inoculum Levels of Gibberella zeae in Passo Fundo, Brazil
Joint Authors
Fernandes, J. M. C.
Nicolau, Marcio
Source
International Journal of Agronomy
Issue
Vol. 2012, Issue 2012 (31 Dec. 2012), pp.1-7, 7 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2012-05-20
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
7
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The deposition of spores of Gibberella zeae, the causal agent of Fusarium head blight of wheat, was monitored during 2008–2011, in Passo Fundo, RS, Brazil.
The sampling was carried out in a 31-day period around wheat flowering.
The numbers of colonies formed were related to meteorological variables.
In this study, a hierarchical autoregressive binary data model was used.
The model relates a binary response variable to potential covariates while accounting for dependence over discrete time points.
This paper proposes an approach for both model parameter inference and prediction at future time points using the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).
The developed model appeared to have a high degree of accuracy and may have implications in the disease control and risk-management planning.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Nicolau, Marcio& Fernandes, J. M. C.. 2012. A Predictive Model for Daily Inoculum Levels of Gibberella zeae in Passo Fundo, Brazil. International Journal of Agronomy،Vol. 2012, no. 2012, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498741
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Nicolau, Marcio& Fernandes, J. M. C.. A Predictive Model for Daily Inoculum Levels of Gibberella zeae in Passo Fundo, Brazil. International Journal of Agronomy No. 2012 (2012), pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498741
American Medical Association (AMA)
Nicolau, Marcio& Fernandes, J. M. C.. A Predictive Model for Daily Inoculum Levels of Gibberella zeae in Passo Fundo, Brazil. International Journal of Agronomy. 2012. Vol. 2012, no. 2012, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498741
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-498741