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Conflicts of Interest during Contact Investigations : A Game-Theoretic Analysis
Joint Authors
Sippl-Swezey, Nicolas
Porco, Travis C.
Enanoria, Wayne T. A.
Source
Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine
Issue
Vol. 2014, Issue 2014 (31 Dec. 2014), pp.1-16, 16 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2014-04-14
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
16
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The goal of contact tracing is to reduce the likelihood of transmission, particularly to individuals who are at greatest risk for developing complications of infection, as well as identifying individuals who are in need of medical treatment of other interventions.
In this paper, we develop a simple mathematical model of contact investigations among a small group of individuals and apply game theory to explore conflicts of interest that may arise in the context of perceived costs of disclosure.
Using analytic Kolmogorov equations, we determine whether or not it is possible for individual incentives to drive noncooperation, even though cooperation would yield a better group outcome.
We found that if all individuals have a cost of disclosure, then the optimal individual decision is to simply not disclose each other.
With further analysis of (1) completely offsetting the costs of disclosure and (2) partially offsetting the costs of disclosure, we found that all individuals disclose all contacts, resulting in a smaller basic reproductive number and an alignment of individual and group optimality.
More data are needed to understand decision making during outbreak investigations and what the real and perceived costs are.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Sippl-Swezey, Nicolas& Enanoria, Wayne T. A.& Porco, Travis C.. 2014. Conflicts of Interest during Contact Investigations : A Game-Theoretic Analysis. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-510942
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Sippl-Swezey, Nicolas…[et al.]. Conflicts of Interest during Contact Investigations : A Game-Theoretic Analysis. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-510942
American Medical Association (AMA)
Sippl-Swezey, Nicolas& Enanoria, Wayne T. A.& Porco, Travis C.. Conflicts of Interest during Contact Investigations : A Game-Theoretic Analysis. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-510942
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-510942