عدم مساعرة سعر الصرف في الجزائر
Other Title(s)
Exchange rate misalignment in Algeria
Author
Source
Issue
Vol. 2016, Issue 10 (30 Jun. 2016), pp.31-48, 18 p.
Publisher
University of Eloued Faculty of Economics Commercial and Management Sciences
Publication Date
2016-06-30
Country of Publication
Algeria
No. of Pages
18
Main Subjects
Financial and Accounting Sciences
Topics
Abstract EN
The goal of this study is to assess misalignment of the Algerian real exchange rate (REER) through an empirical analysis by applying the bounds testing ARDL model.
Our estimation of an ARDL model indicates, firstly, the existence of a long run positive relationship between the REER and the oil prices (see Cashin et al.
(2002) and Koranchelian (2005)); Secondly, we detect a negative relationship between the REER and the terms of trade (Edwards, 1989 1994).
In addition, we find that productivity computed on the basis of Solow model affects the Algerian REER.
Moreover, our results show that a cointegration relationship is detected between the REER and Black market exchange rate in Algeria, and the negative impact emphasizes how the Algerian policymakers acting as an invisible hand instrument need to elaborate a convergence objective between the official and the black market exchange rates (Kamel and Benhabib, 2015).It is known that foreign exchange windfalls from hydrocarbon exports help swell Algerian public spending that would cater for public budget deficit curtailment, which implies that inefficiency in government expenditure is reflected by a statistical insignificance of the impact of public spending variable on the REER.
Finally, the CUSUM (cumulative sum) and CUSUMSQ (CUSUM squared) tests are then introduced to check for the stability of the relationship in the short run dynamics within a long run equilibrium, Brown et al.
(1975).
American Psychological Association (APA)
سي محمد، كمال. 2016. عدم مساعرة سعر الصرف في الجزائر. رؤى اقتصادية،مج. 2016، ع. 10، ص ص. 31-48.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-748287
Modern Language Association (MLA)
سي محمد، كمال. عدم مساعرة سعر الصرف في الجزائر. رؤى اقتصادية ع. 10 (حزيران 2016)، ص ص. 31-48.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-748287
American Medical Association (AMA)
سي محمد، كمال. عدم مساعرة سعر الصرف في الجزائر. رؤى اقتصادية. 2016. مج. 2016، ع. 10، ص ص. 31-48.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-748287
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
Arabic
Notes
يتضمن مراجع ببليوجرافية.
Record ID
BIM-748287