Determinants and macroeconomic impact of parallel market
Author
Ubayd Allah, Ubayd Allah Mahjub
Source
Economic Research Forum : Working Paper Series
Issue
Vol. 2017, Issue 1075-1171 (31 Dec. 2017), pp.1-24, 24 p.
Publisher
Economic Research Forum for the Arab Countries Iran and Turkey
Publication Date
2017-12-31
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
24
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
This paper attempts to identify the factors that influencing the parallel exchange rate premium in Sudan during the period 1979–2014.
In addition, the impact of parallel exchange rate premium on economic performance is examined; focusing on three key macroeconomic indicators namely, economic growth, inflation and exports.
The empirical results show that parallel exchange rate premium is significantly affected by policy variables such as, real exchange rate, trade openness and money supply.
The results also reveal that GDP growth, expected rate of devaluation, and foreign aid are the most significant factors affecting parallel exchange premium.
Moreover, the results demonstrate that parallel premium has a detrimental impact on both economic growth and export performance.
Expectedly, the results show a positive association between premium and inflation rate.
These outcomes are still hold under robustness checks, indicating that parallel exchange rate premium has negative consequences on macroeconomic performance in Sudan.
Accordingly, the paper concludes with some policy implications that aim to narrow the spread between the black and official exchange rate as an important way out to contain inflationary pressures, improve export competitiveness, and boost economic growth.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Ubayd Allah, Ubayd Allah Mahjub. 2017. Determinants and macroeconomic impact of parallel market. Economic Research Forum : Working Paper Series،Vol. 2017, no. 1075-1171, pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-760601
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Ubayd Allah, Ubayd Allah Mahjub. Determinants and macroeconomic impact of parallel market. Economic Research Forum : Working Paper Series No. 1075-1171 (Dec. 2017), pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-760601
American Medical Association (AMA)
Ubayd Allah, Ubayd Allah Mahjub. Determinants and macroeconomic impact of parallel market. Economic Research Forum : Working Paper Series. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 1075-1171, pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-760601
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes appendices : p. 19-24
Record ID
BIM-760601