دراسة قياسية و تنبؤيه لأسعار النفط العالمية خلال الفترة (1970-2018)
Other Title(s)
An empirical study and forecasting of the oil prices for the period (1970-2018)
Joint Authors
Source
Issue
Vol. 2016, Issue 16 (31 Dec. 2016), pp.61-71, 11 p.
Publisher
Kasdi Merbah University Faculty of Economics Commercial Sciences and Management Sciences
Publication Date
2016-12-31
Country of Publication
Algeria
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Economics & Business Administration
Topics
Abstract EN
The study aims to forecast oil prices over the medium term (2014-2018), and this after knowing the factors affecting them, and determine the relationship between all variables.
To achieve this target, we used ImpluseReponse Functions of the estimated Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in a manner of “Johannsen”, for the purpose of testing the existence of equilibrium relationship in the long run.The results showed that oil prices were positivelyaffected by changes in global oil demand and inflation in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries, while theywere negatively affected by global supply of oil.Forecast, also, showed that oil prices will range between 70 and 80 Dollars in the medium term
American Psychological Association (APA)
تومي، صالح وجمعة رضوان. 2016. دراسة قياسية و تنبؤيه لأسعار النفط العالمية خلال الفترة (1970-2018). مجلة الباحث،مج. 2016، ع. 16، ص ص. 61-71.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-766654
Modern Language Association (MLA)
تومي، صالح وجمعة رضوان. دراسة قياسية و تنبؤيه لأسعار النفط العالمية خلال الفترة (1970-2018). مجلة الباحث ع. 16 (2016)، ص ص. 61-71.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-766654
American Medical Association (AMA)
تومي، صالح وجمعة رضوان. دراسة قياسية و تنبؤيه لأسعار النفط العالمية خلال الفترة (1970-2018). مجلة الباحث. 2016. مج. 2016، ع. 16، ص ص. 61-71.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-766654
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
Arabic
Notes
يتضمن مراجع ببليوجرافية.
Record ID
BIM-766654
