Modelling rainfall in karkheh dam reservoir of Iran using time series analysis (Stochastic Arima Models)
Joint Authors
Machekposhti, Karim Hamidi
Sedghi, Husayn
Telvari, Abd al-Rasul
Babazadeh, Husayn
Source
Issue
Vol. 18, Issue 2 (31 Dec. 2017), pp.204-218, 15 p.
Publisher
National Council for Scientific Research
Publication Date
2017-12-31
Country of Publication
Lebanon
No. of Pages
15
Main Subjects
Natural & Life Sciences (Multidisciplinary)
Abstract EN
Time series analysis and prediction has become a major tool in different applications in meteorological and hydrological phenomena, such as rainfall, temperature, evaporation, flood, drought etc.
Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model introduced by Box and Jenkins.
In this study we used Box-Jenkins methodology to build non-seasonal ARIMA model for annual rainfall data of Karkheh dam reservoir in Iran for Jelogir Majin and Pole Zal stations (upstream of Karkheh dam reservoir) for the period 1966-2015.
In this paper, ARIMA 8.1.1 and 9.1.1 models were found adequate for annual rainfall at Jelogir Majin and Pole Zal stations, respectively, and these models were used to predict the annual rainfall for the coming ten years to help decision makers to establish priorities in terms of water demand management.
The statistical analysis system (SAS) and statistical package for the social science (SPSS) softwares were used to determine the best model to use for these series
American Psychological Association (APA)
Machekposhti, Karim Hamidi& Sedghi, Husayn& Telvari, Abd al-Rasul& Babazadeh, Husayn. 2017. Modelling rainfall in karkheh dam reservoir of Iran using time series analysis (Stochastic Arima Models). Lebanese Science Journal،Vol. 18, no. 2, pp.204-218.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-812660
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Machekposhti, Karim Hamidi…[et al.]. Modelling rainfall in karkheh dam reservoir of Iran using time series analysis (Stochastic Arima Models). Lebanese Science Journal Vol. 18, no. 2 (2017), pp.204-218.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-812660
American Medical Association (AMA)
Machekposhti, Karim Hamidi& Sedghi, Husayn& Telvari, Abd al-Rasul& Babazadeh, Husayn. Modelling rainfall in karkheh dam reservoir of Iran using time series analysis (Stochastic Arima Models). Lebanese Science Journal. 2017. Vol. 18, no. 2, pp.204-218.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-812660
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 218
Record ID
BIM-812660