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Using multivariate time series model VAR (P) to forecast Water supply of Tigris and Euphrates Rivers in Iraq
Source
ZANCO Journal of Humanity Sciences
Issue
Vol. 22, Issue 6 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.220-228, 9 p.
Publisher
Salahaddin University-Erbil Department of Scientific Publications
Publication Date
2018-12-31
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Earth Sciences, Water and Environment
Abstract EN
In this paper, we will discuss the water crisis in Iraq that is one of the most important problems facing the Iraqi economy for water supply for two rivers (Tigris and Euphrates) in Iraq since_(1980-2015) by using vector autoregressive VAR(P) model in time series for model that sufficient representation of the dynamic interactions in a system of variables (bivariate) applied for forecast, the model gives the minimum of ACC, BIC, FPE, SBIC, HQIC values and the maximum of R2 value to forecast for the periods of ten years to forecasting the yearly rate of water imports of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers in Iraq by using VAR(P) and test Diagnostic checking by using STATA v.13 Program, We concluded that the model VAR(P), and the expected values of the yearly rate of water imports of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers are increasing after year 2015 for forecast for ten years (2016-2025).
American Psychological Association (APA)
Badal, Muhammad Abd al-Majid. 2018. Using multivariate time series model VAR (P) to forecast Water supply of Tigris and Euphrates Rivers in Iraq. ZANCO Journal of Humanity Sciences،Vol. 22, no. 6, pp.220-228.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-896210
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Badal, Muhammad Abd al-Majid. Using multivariate time series model VAR (P) to forecast Water supply of Tigris and Euphrates Rivers in Iraq. ZANCO Journal of Humanity Sciences Vol. 22, no. 6 (2018), pp.220-228.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-896210
American Medical Association (AMA)
Badal, Muhammad Abd al-Majid. Using multivariate time series model VAR (P) to forecast Water supply of Tigris and Euphrates Rivers in Iraq. ZANCO Journal of Humanity Sciences. 2018. Vol. 22, no. 6, pp.220-228.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-896210
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 228
Record ID
BIM-896210