نمذجة علاقة تقلبات أسعار النفط بالنمو الاقتصادي باستخدام بيانات البانل : حالة الدول العربية الأعضاء في الأوبك خلال الفترة (2000-2016)‎

Abstract EN

This study aimed to measuring the relationship between oil prices and economic growth fluctuations in the Arabic States OPEC members during the period (2000-2016), to indicate this relationship panel methodology was used to estimate all three models, and then determine the appropriate model, on other hand, the tests of satationarity, co integration and causality used to determine the degrees of integration and to verify the existence of a long run relationship between the tow variables and their direction.

Statistical and econometric analysis showed that the random effect model is appropriate, and that the variables were first class integrators and have long run relationship in one direction of oil prices toward economic growth.