The prediction of solar radiation using fuzzy logic : a case study
Joint Authors
Muhammad, Jwan Abd al-Khaliq
Mahdi, Berivan Hadi
Origional Text Language
Kurdish
Source
Issue
Vol. 21, Issue 2 العلوم الصرفة و الهندسية (31 Dec. 2018), pp.34-44, 11 p.
Publisher
Publication Date
2018-12-31
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Solar energy is used in many applications such as producing agricultural food, renewable energy, and heating and lighting systems… etc.
Nowadays, countries all over the world, especially the developing countries are facing a great challenge which is providing sustainable energy for consumers.
Electricity is the most common type of energy that is used by consumers in which oil or nuclear power is used to produce sufficient amount of electricity for the constant increase of the population in the present.
However, both oil and nuclear energy negatively affect the global warming; therefore, solar energy is aspired by many countries to decrease the effects of the global warming and produce renewable sources of energy.
The aim of this study is to predict the use of solar radiation for solar energy to produce electricity in Duhok city due to the fact that “national electricity” is not enough for the great number of consumers; as a result, people depend on “local or private generators” which mainly depend on oil to produce electricity.
Fuzzy logic approach is used to estimate the solar radiation.
The four fuzzy systems are created using the available data in Duhok City in 2016.
Daily observations for temperature, humidity and wind speed for four seasons are analyzed to estimate the solar radiation.
The predicted outputs of fuzzy logic system are compared with the actual solar radiation.
In addition, the fuzzy system approach is evaluated using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Absolute Percentage Error (APE).
The outcomes of MAPE and APE are 5.86 %, 1.54 %, 2.76 % and 1.52 for four seasons (winter, summer, spring and fall), respectively.
According to the results, the performance of fuzzy system is reasonably effective in predicting the solar radiation.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Muhammad, Jwan Abd al-Khaliq& Mahdi, Berivan Hadi. 2018. The prediction of solar radiation using fuzzy logic : a case study. Journal of Dohuk University،Vol. 21, no. 2 العلوم الصرفة و الهندسية, pp.34-44.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-898374
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Muhammad, Jwan Abd al-Khaliq& Mahdi, Berivan Hadi. The prediction of solar radiation using fuzzy logic : a case study. Journal of Dohuk University Vol. 21, no. 2 Pure and Engineering Sciences (2018), pp.34-44.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-898374
American Medical Association (AMA)
Muhammad, Jwan Abd al-Khaliq& Mahdi, Berivan Hadi. The prediction of solar radiation using fuzzy logic : a case study. Journal of Dohuk University. 2018. Vol. 21, no. 2 العلوم الصرفة و الهندسية, pp.34-44.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-898374
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 42-43
Record ID
BIM-898374