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The effect of exchange rate movements on trade balance performance in Egypt : Is there a J-curve phenomenon?
Author
Source
Scientific Journal for Economic and Commerce
Issue
Vol. 48, Issue 4 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.659-659, 1 p.
Publisher
Ain Shams University Faculty of Commerce
Publication Date
2018-12-31
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
1
Main Subjects
Financial and Accounting Sciences
Abstract EN
This study targets to test the J-curve hypothesis in Egypt.
The dynamics of the bilateral trade balance with Egypt’s main eight trading partners is investigated.
The findings of the paper investigate that the J-curve hypothesis does not hold in case of Egypt, especially in the long-term.
This is consistent with most of the previous studies tested the same hypothesis in developing countries.
The conclusion to policy makers can be presented in two main points.
First, the negative impact of the depreciation of the pound against the US dollar was confirmed in the short term.
This requires action to mitigate these effects, especially for the poor.
Second, it is not possible to rely only on devaluing the Egyptian pound to improve the long-term balance of trade; both of domestic production and export development policies should be developed to help improve the balance of trade as a result of the devaluation of the pound.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Izzat, Ahmad Muhammad. 2018. The effect of exchange rate movements on trade balance performance in Egypt : Is there a J-curve phenomenon?. Scientific Journal for Economic and Commerce،Vol. 48, no. 4, pp.659-659.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-940423
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Izzat, Ahmad Muhammad. The effect of exchange rate movements on trade balance performance in Egypt : Is there a J-curve phenomenon?. Scientific Journal for Economic and Commerce Vol. 48, no. 4 (2018), pp.659-659.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-940423
American Medical Association (AMA)
Izzat, Ahmad Muhammad. The effect of exchange rate movements on trade balance performance in Egypt : Is there a J-curve phenomenon?. Scientific Journal for Economic and Commerce. 2018. Vol. 48, no. 4, pp.659-659.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-940423
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Record ID
BIM-940423