Development of corona virus morbidity, recovery and fatality rates in Egypt and the world: a study in medical geography

Abstract EN

This paper aims to study the development of morbidity, recovery and fatality rates in Egypt during the period from February 2020 to the first of August 2020 and compare them worldwide.

And answers a number of questions, including : Are the rates of infection and recovery for Corona disease in Egypt commensurate with those in the world ? Are the fatality rates in Egypt commensurate with global rates ? What is the pattern of the Corona virus disease morbidity, recovery and death curve, in Egypt and the world ? Based on the above, is it possible to predict the future of Corona in Egypt and the world ? The incidence of the disease in the world increased logarithmically from 0.7 per 100, 000 people on February 14, reach to 166 per 100, 000 on July 10, 2020, and by comparing this rate for Egypt, the rate was 0.09 per 100, 000 in 13 March, rising to 80.2 per 100, 000 people on July 10, 2020.

Recovery rates in the world during the same period increased from 12.1 % of the number of infected to 58.3 % on July 10, 2020, while in Egypt, recovery rates it is half of the global percentage.

The percentage of Fatality rates increased from 2.7 % in the world, to 4.5% on July 10, 2020, while the percentage in Egypt is close to it in the world Morbidity and fatality rates of the Corona epidemic, although they tend to gradually decrease in Egypt and the world, also increase the recovery rate, except that the fluctuation of cases of infection and death due to disease from day to day makes it's difficult to predict the future of the disease in the time of ambiguity surrounding it on the one hand, and the absence of a vaccine that helps protect against the disease on the other hand.