Combined Prediction Model of Death Toll for Road Traffic Accidents Based on Independent and Dependent Variables
المؤلفون المشاركون
Zhong-xiang, Feng
Shi-sheng, Lu
Wei-hua, Zhang
Nan-nan, Zhang
المصدر
Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
العدد
المجلد 2014، العدد 2014 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2014)، ص ص. 1-7، 7ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2014-12-31
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
7
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
In order to build a combined model which can meet the variation rule of death toll data for road traffic accidents and can reflect the influence of multiple factors on traffic accidents and improve prediction accuracy for accidents, the Verhulst model was built based on the number of death tolls for road traffic accidents in China from 2002 to 2011; and car ownership, population, GDP, highway freight volume, highway passenger transportation volume, and highway mileage were chosen as the factors to build the death toll multivariate linear regression model.
Then the two models were combined to be a combined prediction model which has weight coefficient.
Shapley value method was applied to calculate the weight coefficient by assessing contributions.
Finally, the combined model was used to recalculate the number of death tolls from 2002 to 2011, and the combined model was compared with the Verhulst and multivariate linear regression models.
The results showed that the new model could not only characterize the death toll data characteristics but also quantify the degree of influence to the death toll by each influencing factor and had high accuracy as well as strong practicability.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Zhong-xiang, Feng& Shi-sheng, Lu& Wei-hua, Zhang& Nan-nan, Zhang. 2014. Combined Prediction Model of Death Toll for Road Traffic Accidents Based on Independent and Dependent Variables. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1016709
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Zhong-xiang, Feng…[et al.]. Combined Prediction Model of Death Toll for Road Traffic Accidents Based on Independent and Dependent Variables. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1016709
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Zhong-xiang, Feng& Shi-sheng, Lu& Wei-hua, Zhang& Nan-nan, Zhang. Combined Prediction Model of Death Toll for Road Traffic Accidents Based on Independent and Dependent Variables. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1016709
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1016709
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر