Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1)
المؤلفون المشاركون
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-8، 8ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2016-12-07
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
8
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
The improvement of the primary energy structure has been considered as one of the important measures to achieve the carbon emissions reduction targets in China.
This current paper constructed a Markov chain model, which was used to forecast the transition of primary energy structure.
GM (1, 1) model and a linear regression model were used to predict the total energy consumption in 2020 and 2030.
Then, the CO2 emissions intensity was calculated, and the realization of carbon emissions reduction targets in China was analyzed.
The findings indicated that (1) China’s nonfossil energy share in primary energy cannot be achieved naturally.
(2) Part of the carbon emissions intensity in China’s commitments was not binding actually.
(3) The realization of the carbon emissions peak and the reduction target of carbon emissions intensity in 2030 would need the policy intervention.
In the last part of this paper, policy recommendations on carbon emissions reduction in China were provided.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. 2016. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1112246
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر