Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1)
Joint Authors
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2016, Issue 2016 (31 Dec. 2016), pp.1-8, 8 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2016-12-07
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
8
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The improvement of the primary energy structure has been considered as one of the important measures to achieve the carbon emissions reduction targets in China.
This current paper constructed a Markov chain model, which was used to forecast the transition of primary energy structure.
GM (1, 1) model and a linear regression model were used to predict the total energy consumption in 2020 and 2030.
Then, the CO2 emissions intensity was calculated, and the realization of carbon emissions reduction targets in China was analyzed.
The findings indicated that (1) China’s nonfossil energy share in primary energy cannot be achieved naturally.
(2) Part of the carbon emissions intensity in China’s commitments was not binding actually.
(3) The realization of the carbon emissions peak and the reduction target of carbon emissions intensity in 2030 would need the policy intervention.
In the last part of this paper, policy recommendations on carbon emissions reduction in China were provided.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. 2016. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
American Medical Association (AMA)
Ren, Feng& Gu, Lihong. Study on Transition of Primary Energy Structure and Carbon Emission Reduction Targets in China Based on Markov Chain Model and GM (1, 1). Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112246
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1112246