Climate Warming in Response to Emission Reductions Consistent with the Paris Agreement
المؤلفون المشاركون
Zhang, Xuezhen
Ge, Quansheng
Wang, Fang
Tokarska, Katarzyna B.
Zhang, Jintao
Wu, Maowei
Hao, Zhixin
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2018، العدد 2018 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2018)، ص ص. 1-9، 9ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2018-05-08
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
9
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
To limit global warming to well below 2°C in accord with the Paris Agreement, countries throughout the world have submitted their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) outlining their greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation actions in the next few decades.
However, it remains unclear what the resulting climate change is in response to the proposed INDCs and subsequent emission reductions.
In this study, the global and regional warming under the updated INDC scenarios was estimated from a range of comprehensive Earth system models (CMIP5) and a simpler carbon-climate model (MAGICC), based on the relationship of climate response to cumulative emissions.
The global GHG emissions under the updated INDC pledges are estimated to reach 14.2∼15.0 GtC/year in 2030, resulting in a global mean temperature increase of 1.29∼1.55°C (median of 1.41°C) above the preindustrial level.
By extending the INDC scenarios to 2100, global GHG emissions are estimated to be around 6.4∼9.0 GtC/year in 2100, resulting in a global mean temperature increase by 2.67∼3.74°C (median of 3.17°C).
The Arctic warming is projected to be most profound, exceeding the global average by a factor of three by the end of this century.
Thus, climate warming under INDC scenarios is projected to greatly exceed the long-term Paris Agreement goal of stabilizing the global mean temperature at to a low level of 1.5‐2.0°C above the pre-industrial.
Our study suggests that the INDC emission commitments need to be adjusted and strengthened to bridge this warming gap.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Wang, Fang& Tokarska, Katarzyna B.& Zhang, Jintao& Ge, Quansheng& Hao, Zhixin& Zhang, Xuezhen…[et al.]. 2018. Climate Warming in Response to Emission Reductions Consistent with the Paris Agreement. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118664
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Wang, Fang…[et al.]. Climate Warming in Response to Emission Reductions Consistent with the Paris Agreement. Advances in Meteorology No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118664
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Wang, Fang& Tokarska, Katarzyna B.& Zhang, Jintao& Ge, Quansheng& Hao, Zhixin& Zhang, Xuezhen…[et al.]. Climate Warming in Response to Emission Reductions Consistent with the Paris Agreement. Advances in Meteorology. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118664
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1118664
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر