Developing Pavement Distress Deterioration Models for Pavement Management System Using Markovian Probabilistic Process
المؤلفون المشاركون
Atadero, Rebecca A.
Saha, Promothes
Ksaibati, Khaled
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2017، العدد 2017 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2017)، ص ص. 1-9، 9ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2017-11-19
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
9
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
In the state of Colorado, the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT) utilizes their pavement management system (PMS) to manage approximately 9,100 miles of interstate, highways, and low-volume roads.
Three types of deterioration models are currently being used in the existing PMS: site-specific, family, and expert opinion curves.
These curves are developed using deterministic techniques.
In the deterministic technique, the uncertainties of pavement deterioration related to traffic and weather are not considered.
Probabilistic models that take into account the uncertainties result in more accurate curves.
In this study, probabilistic models using the discrete-time Markov process were developed for five distress indices: transverse, longitudinal, fatigue, rut, and ride indices, as a case study on low-volume roads.
Regression techniques were used to develop the deterioration paths using the predicted distribution of indices estimated from the Markov process.
Results indicated that longitudinal, fatigue, and rut indices had very slow deterioration over time, whereas transverse and ride indices showed faster deterioration.
The developed deterioration models had the coefficient of determination (R2) above 0.84.
As probabilistic models provide more accurate results, it is recommended that these models be used as the family curves in the CDOT PMS for low-volume roads.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Saha, Promothes& Ksaibati, Khaled& Atadero, Rebecca A.. 2017. Developing Pavement Distress Deterioration Models for Pavement Management System Using Markovian Probabilistic Process. Advances in Civil Engineering،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1121369
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Saha, Promothes…[et al.]. Developing Pavement Distress Deterioration Models for Pavement Management System Using Markovian Probabilistic Process. Advances in Civil Engineering No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1121369
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Saha, Promothes& Ksaibati, Khaled& Atadero, Rebecca A.. Developing Pavement Distress Deterioration Models for Pavement Management System Using Markovian Probabilistic Process. Advances in Civil Engineering. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1121369
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1121369
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر