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A Novel Clustering Model Based on Set Pair Analysis for the Energy Consumption Forecast in China
المؤلفون المشاركون
Jin, Juliang
Wei, Dongfang
Wang, Mingwu
Li, Jian
Jiang, Hui
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2014، العدد 2014 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2014)، ص ص. 1-8، 8ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2014-07-23
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
8
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
The energy consumption forecast is important for the decision-making of national economic and energy policies.
But it is a complex and uncertainty system problem affected by the outer environment and various uncertainty factors.
Herein, a novel clustering model based on set pair analysis (SPA) was introduced to analyze and predict energy consumption.
The annual dynamic relative indicator (DRI) of historical energy consumption was adopted to conduct a cluster analysis with Fisher’s optimal partition method.
Combined with indicator weights, group centroids of DRIs for influence factors were transferred into aggregating connection numbers in order to interpret uncertainty by identity-discrepancy-contrary (IDC) analysis.
Moreover, a forecasting model based on similarity to group centroid was discussed to forecast energy consumption of a certain year on the basis of measured values of influence factors.
Finally, a case study predicting China’s future energy consumption as well as comparison with the grey method was conducted to confirm the reliability and validity of the model.
The results indicate that the method presented here is more feasible and easier to use and can interpret certainty and uncertainty of development speed of energy consumption and influence factors as a whole.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Wang, Mingwu& Wei, Dongfang& Li, Jian& Jiang, Hui& Jin, Juliang. 2014. A Novel Clustering Model Based on Set Pair Analysis for the Energy Consumption Forecast in China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-453221
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Wang, Mingwu…[et al.]. A Novel Clustering Model Based on Set Pair Analysis for the Energy Consumption Forecast in China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-453221
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Wang, Mingwu& Wei, Dongfang& Li, Jian& Jiang, Hui& Jin, Juliang. A Novel Clustering Model Based on Set Pair Analysis for the Energy Consumption Forecast in China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-453221
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-453221
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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