Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change : A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models
المؤلفون المشاركون
Falk, Wolfgang
Hempelmann, Nils
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2013، العدد 2013 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2013)، ص ص. 1-18، 18ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2013-12-19
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
18
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Climate is the main environmental driver determining the spatial distribution of most tree species at the continental scale.
We investigated the distribution change of European beech and Norway spruce due to climate change.
We applied a species distribution model (SDM), driven by an ensemble of 21 regional climate models in order to study the shift of the favourability distribution of these species.
SDMs were parameterized for 1971–2000, as well as 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 using the SRES scenario A1B and three physiological meaningful climate variables.
Growing degree sum and precipitation sum were calculated for the growing season on a basis of daily data.
Results show a general north-eastern and altitudinal shift in climatological favourability for both species, although the shift is more marked for spruce.
The gain of new favourable sites in the north or in the Alps is stronger for beech compared to spruce.
Uncertainty is expressed as the variance of the averaged maps and with a density function.
Uncertainty in species distribution increases over time.
This study demonstrates the importance of data ensembles and shows how to deal with different outcomes in order to improve impact studies by showing uncertainty of the resulting maps.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Falk, Wolfgang& Hempelmann, Nils. 2013. Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change : A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models. Journal of Climatology،Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-18.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498082
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Falk, Wolfgang& Hempelmann, Nils. Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change : A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models. Journal of Climatology No. 2013 (2013), pp.1-18.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498082
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Falk, Wolfgang& Hempelmann, Nils. Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change : A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models. Journal of Climatology. 2013. Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-18.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-498082
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-498082
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر