A Spatial-Temporal ARMA Model of the Incidence of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Wenzhou, China
Joint Authors
Wang, Weiming
Li, Jie
Fu, Yanjun
Zhou, Zumu
Xu, Ancha
Source
Issue
Vol. 2014, Issue 2014 (31 Dec. 2014), pp.1-9, 9 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2014-02-06
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
To investigate the variability of HFMD in each county of Wenzhou, a spatial-temporal ARMAmodel is presented, and a general Bayesian framework is given for parameter estimation.
Theproposed model has two advantages: (i) allowing time series to be correlated, thus it candescribe the series both spatially and temporally; (ii) implementing forecast easily.
Based onthe HFMD data in Wenzhou, we find that HFMD had positive spatial autocorrelation andthe incidence seasonal peak was between May and July.
In the county-level analysis, we findthat after first-order difference the spatial-temporal ARMA ( 0 , 0 ) × ( 1 , 0 ) 12 model provides anadequate fit to the data.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Li, Jie& Fu, Yanjun& Xu, Ancha& Zhou, Zumu& Wang, Weiming. 2014. A Spatial-Temporal ARMA Model of the Incidence of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Wenzhou, China. Abstract and Applied Analysis،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033623
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Li, Jie…[et al.]. A Spatial-Temporal ARMA Model of the Incidence of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Wenzhou, China. Abstract and Applied Analysis No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033623
American Medical Association (AMA)
Li, Jie& Fu, Yanjun& Xu, Ancha& Zhou, Zumu& Wang, Weiming. A Spatial-Temporal ARMA Model of the Incidence of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Wenzhou, China. Abstract and Applied Analysis. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033623
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1033623
