A statistical model to measure the factors affecting on the migration of Egyptian scientific competencies on economic development
Other Title(s)
نموذج إحصائي لقياس العوامل المؤثرة في هجرة الكفاءات العلمية المصرية على التنمية الاقتصادية
Author
Source
Journal of Financial and Commercial Studies
Issue
Vol. 29, Issue 2 (31 Jul. 2019), pp.160-194, 35 p.
Publisher
Beni Suef University Faculty of Commerce
Publication Date
2019-07-31
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
35
Main Subjects
Financial and Accounting Sciences
Topics
- Economic development
- Researchers
- Higher education
- Brain drain
- National income
- Gross national product
- Public expenditures
- Human resources
- Unemployment
- Banu Qaraous(Tribe)
- Research and development
- Mathematical statistics
Abstract EN
The research aims to measure the factors affecting on the migration of scientific competencies abroad on The Egyptian economic growth from 1990 to 2019.
Then, forecasting GDP as an indicator of economic development as a result of the impact of these factors from 2020 to 2030.
The Research used ordinary least squares (OLS) model, robust regression (RR), Partial Least Squares (PLS) model and the hybrid model between robust regression and partial least squares.
After that it was compared between them in terms of explanatory and predictive ability.
The results found that the best model for forecasting of gross domestic product (GDP it) is robust partial least squares (RPLS) model, where its explanatory and predictive ability is higher than other models.
It was found that the most important factors affecting of gross domestic product (GDP it) is the Migration of Scientific Competence Index (MSC it) and it is measured by the total number of immigrants from higher university and university education to the total number of graduates, the unemployment rate (UNEMP it), The size of the employees (EMP it), the Human Capital Index (HC it), the rate of expenditure on Research and Development (ERD it), the number of researchers working in research and development (RRD it), the proportion of public spending on education as a proportion of national income (ES it).
American Psychological Association (APA)
Mwafi, Mamduh Abd al-Alim Sad. 2019. A statistical model to measure the factors affecting on the migration of Egyptian scientific competencies on economic development. Journal of Financial and Commercial Studies ،Vol. 29, no. 2, pp.160-194.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142115
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Mwafi, Mamduh Abd al-Alim Sad. A statistical model to measure the factors affecting on the migration of Egyptian scientific competencies on economic development. Journal of Financial and Commercial Studies Vol. 29, no. 2 (2019), pp.160-194.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142115
American Medical Association (AMA)
Mwafi, Mamduh Abd al-Alim Sad. A statistical model to measure the factors affecting on the migration of Egyptian scientific competencies on economic development. Journal of Financial and Commercial Studies . 2019. Vol. 29, no. 2, pp.160-194.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142115
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
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Record ID
BIM-1142115