Optimal models for estimating future infected cases of COVID - 19 in Oman

Joint Authors

al-Sayyabi, Ahmad
Purnama, Anton
al-Baali, Muhyi al-Din

Source

General Letters in Mathematics

Issue

Vol. 9, Issue 2 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.53-66, 14 p.

Publisher

Refaad Center for Studies and Research

Publication Date

2020-12-31

Country of Publication

Jordan

No. of Pages

14

Main Subjects

Mathematics

Abstract EN

The recent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is of high importance in research topics due to its fast spreading and high rate of infections across the world.

In this paper, we test certain optimal models of forecasting daily new cases of COVID-19 in Oman.

It is based on solving a certain nonlinear least-squares optimization problem that determines some unknown parameters in fitting some mathematical models.

We also consider extension to these models to predict the future number of infection cases in Oman.

The modification technique introduces a simple ratio rate of changes in the daily infected cases.

This average ratio is computed by employing the rule of Al-Baali [Numerical experience with a class of self-scaling quasi-Newton algorithms, JOTA, 96 (1998), pp.

533–553], in a sense to be defined, for measuring the infection changes.

American Psychological Association (APA)

al-Sayyabi, Ahmad& al-Baali, Muhyi al-Din& Purnama, Anton. 2020. Optimal models for estimating future infected cases of COVID - 19 in Oman. General Letters in Mathematics،Vol. 9, no. 2, pp.53-66.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1428557

Modern Language Association (MLA)

al-Sayyabi, Ahmad…[et al.]. Optimal models for estimating future infected cases of COVID - 19 in Oman. General Letters in Mathematics Vol. 9, no. 2 (2020), pp.53-66.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1428557

American Medical Association (AMA)

al-Sayyabi, Ahmad& al-Baali, Muhyi al-Din& Purnama, Anton. Optimal models for estimating future infected cases of COVID - 19 in Oman. General Letters in Mathematics. 2020. Vol. 9, no. 2, pp.53-66.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1428557

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

English

Notes

Includes appendix : p. 64-66

Record ID

BIM-1428557