COVID-19 cases presenting to the Emergency Department predict Qatar National COVID-19 trends and numbers

Abstract EN

In this short communication, we summarized the analyses, models, and interpretations of the corporate department of emergency medicine’s (CDEM) COVID-19 numbers and their relationship to predict the national COVID-19 trends and numbers in Qatar.

Data included in this analysis were obtained between March 1, 2020 and July 31, 2021.

It included the number of COVID-19 cases that presented to four major EDs under the Hamad Medical Corporation CDEM umbrella and published data from the Qatar Ministry of public health (MoPH).

On plotting weighted scatterplot smoothing (lowess) trend lines, there were striking similarities between CDEM and national COVID-19 n curves for overall trends and peaks.

In conclusion, CDEM COVID-19 spike may be useful to predict national COVID-19 spike in 2–3 weeks.