Risk analysis for a BOT project
Joint Authors
Bagui, Swapan Kumar
Ghosh, Ambarish
Source
Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering
Issue
Vol. 5, Issue 3 (30 Sep. 2011), pp.330-342, 13 p.
Publisher
Jordan University of Science and Technology Deanship of Research
Publication Date
2011-09-30
Country of Publication
Jordan
No. of Pages
13
Main Subjects
Topics
Abstract EN
There are several risks in a BOT project.
Major critical risks are total project cost and revenue / to liable traffic.
This paper presents a sensitivity analysis for a BOT project with a real case study varying equity from 10 % to 90 %.
Traffic and cost are varied ± 20 % and financial analysis is carried out with spread sheet, and test results are prepared in graphical forms and presented.
Total Project Cost (TPC), Net Present Value (NPV) and Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) are plotted with various percentages of equity.
Linear and non-linear graphs are found.
FIRR decreases with increasing TPC / Equity, and probability of project risk increases with increasing percentage of equity up to 30 % and decreases beyond this value.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Bagui, Swapan Kumar& Ghosh, Ambarish. 2011. Risk analysis for a BOT project. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering،Vol. 5, no. 3, pp.330-342.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-284431
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Bagui, Swapan Kumar& Ghosh, Ambarish. Risk analysis for a BOT project. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering Vol. 5, no. 3 (2011), pp.330-342.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-284431
American Medical Association (AMA)
Bagui, Swapan Kumar& Ghosh, Ambarish. Risk analysis for a BOT project. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering. 2011. Vol. 5, no. 3, pp.330-342.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-284431
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 342
Record ID
BIM-284431
