Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE? Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE ?

Dissertant

Achkir, Maryam

Thesis advisor

Sharafi, Abd al-Latif

University

Al Akhawayn University

Faculty

The School of Business Administration

University Country

Morocco

Degree

Master

Degree Date

2011

English Abstract

This study investigates the presence of positive feedback trading in the Casablanca stock exchange and measures the profitability and the effectiveness of selected herding strategies.

The MADEX returns from 2004 to 2010 are analyzed, modeled, and forecasted for that purpose using linear autoregressive models, GARCH processes, and E-GARCH processes.

Relying on the Sentana and Wadhwani’s positive feedback model, this study explores the link between feedback trading, serial autocorrelations, and volatility.

The study presents supporting evidence on the persistence of serial autocorrelations in the index returns suggesting the prevailing influence of feedback trading activity on return dynamics.

The signaling-based simulation results reveal that herd trading dominates the simple buy and hold strategy and the smart money investors’ strategy both on daily and weekly bases.

The results also unveil the impact of the day of trade effect on weekly trading outcomes, volatilities, and Sharpe ratios.

Main Subjects

Financial and Accounting Sciences

Topics

No. of Pages

74

Table of Contents

Table of contents.

Abstract.

Introduction.

Chapter One : Theoretical background, motivation, and purpose.

Chapter Two : Literature review.

Chapter Three : The positive feedback trading model.

Chapter Four : Data analysis and modeling.

Chapter Five : Strategy testing and empirical results.

Chapter Six : Findings and conclusion.

References.

American Psychological Association (APA)

Achkir, Maryam. (2011). Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE? Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE ?. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University, Morocco
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-624715

Modern Language Association (MLA)

Achkir, Maryam. Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE? Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE ?. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University. (2011).
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-624715

American Medical Association (AMA)

Achkir, Maryam. (2011). Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE? Can positive feedback traders and trend chasers beat the CSE ?. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University, Morocco
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-624715

Language

English

Data Type

Arab Theses

Record ID

BIM-624715