Discrete-stochastic based liquidity risk management in the Moroccan stock market

Dissertant

al-Bergui, Uthmani

Thesis advisor

Sharafi, Abd al-Latif
Alawi, Abd al-Hamid Hamidi

University

Al Akhawayn University

Faculty

The School of Business Administration

University Country

Morocco

Degree

Master

Degree Date

2013

English Abstract

In this study we try to predict liquidity states for ten listed Moroccan companies using discrete stochastic historical values.

The purpose of the study is to help in managing liquidity risk by predicting future liquidity states.

The model measures liquidity using duration and uses Markov chains to generate probabilities based on five states of liquidity.

Predictions are done through two forecasting methods, the rolling horizon method and the fixed horizon method.

The study shows that the rolling horizon method is the best to predict for long horizons, while the fixed horizon method gives better results for short term horizons.

We conclude also that the forecast accuracy depend on how liquid is the stock and how it fluctuates over time.

Main Subjects

Business Administration
Financial and Accounting Sciences

Topics

No. of Pages

64

Table of Contents

Table of contents.

Abstract.

Chapter One : Introduction and study scope.

Chapter Two : Literature review.

Chapter Three : Methodology.

Chapter Four : Results.

Chapter Five : Conclusion and findings.

Chapter Six : Recommendations.

References.

American Psychological Association (APA)

al-Bergui, Uthmani. (2013). Discrete-stochastic based liquidity risk management in the Moroccan stock market. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University, Morocco
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-626708

Modern Language Association (MLA)

al-Bergui, Uthmani. Discrete-stochastic based liquidity risk management in the Moroccan stock market. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University. (2013).
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-626708

American Medical Association (AMA)

al-Bergui, Uthmani. (2013). Discrete-stochastic based liquidity risk management in the Moroccan stock market. (Master's theses Theses and Dissertations Master). Al Akhawayn University, Morocco
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-626708

Language

English

Data Type

Arab Theses

Record ID

BIM-626708