Forecasting fire insurance loss ratio in misr insurance company

Other Title(s)

التنبؤ بمعدل التأمين الحريق في شركة مصر للتأمين

Time cited in Arcif : 
1

Author

Taha, Tariq

Source

Revue du Chercheur

Issue

Vol. 2017, Issue 17 (31 Dec. 2017), pp.31-39, 9 p.

Publisher

Kasdi Merbah University Faculty of Economics Commercial Sciences and Management Sciences

Publication Date

2017-12-31

Country of Publication

Algeria

No. of Pages

9

Main Subjects

Financial and Accounting Sciences

Topics

Abstract EN

Loss ratio is one of the most important indicator that has many strategic decisions applications, such as pricing, underwriting, investment, reinsurance and reserving decisions.

It serves as an early warning of financial solvency of insurance companies and it can be judged on the strength of the financial position of these companies.

The aim of this study is to identify the reliable time series-forecasting model to forecast loss ratio estimates of fire segment in Misr insurance company.

Box-Jenkins Analysis is applied on actual reported loss ratios data for Misr insurance company for the period 1980/1981– 2013/2014.

The study concludes that the best forecasting model is ARMA(1,1).

American Psychological Association (APA)

Taha, Tariq. 2017. Forecasting fire insurance loss ratio in misr insurance company. Revue du Chercheur،Vol. 2017, no. 17, pp.31-39.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-808372

Modern Language Association (MLA)

Taha, Tariq. Forecasting fire insurance loss ratio in misr insurance company. Revue du Chercheur No. 17 (2017), pp.31-39.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-808372

American Medical Association (AMA)

Taha, Tariq. Forecasting fire insurance loss ratio in misr insurance company. Revue du Chercheur. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 17, pp.31-39.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-808372

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

English

Notes

Includes bibliographical references : p. 38-39

Record ID

BIM-808372