An economic study for Iraq's rice imports for the period (1990-2015) and prediction for the peried (2016-2023)
Other Title(s)
دراسة اقتصادية لاستيرادات العراق من الرز للمدة (1990-2015) و التنبؤ بها للمدة (2016-2023)
Joint Authors
al-Badri, Basim Hazim
al- Karawi, Hasan Ujayl
Source
The Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Science
Issue
Vol. 49, Issue 1 (28 Feb. 2018), pp.43-49, 7 p.
Publisher
University of Baghdad College of Agriculture
Publication Date
2018-02-28
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
7
Main Subjects
Topics
Abstract EN
This research aims at predicting the imported quantities of rice in Iraq for the period 2016- 2023 through the use of the self-regression model (VAR).
The values of explanatory variables (local production, population, national income, local price index, of rice consumption), where the predicted values for each of these variables are estimated separately using the moving average method based on the data of the last 10 years.
The research concluded that there is no difference between the actual values and the predicted values in the short term.
This is the problem that emerged from the research which is the mismatch between these values.
Therefore, the research recommended that the short term forecasts be adopted in the formulation of import policies, especially after the validity of the model To predict after testing the predictive power of the model.
American Psychological Association (APA)
al- Karawi, Hasan Ujayl& al-Badri, Basim Hazim. 2018. An economic study for Iraq's rice imports for the period (1990-2015) and prediction for the peried (2016-2023). The Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Science،Vol. 49, no. 1, pp.43-49.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-838521
Modern Language Association (MLA)
al- Karawi, Hasan Ujayl& al-Badri, Basim Hazim. An economic study for Iraq's rice imports for the period (1990-2015) and prediction for the peried (2016-2023). The Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Science Vol. 49, no. 1 (2018), pp.43-49.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-838521
American Medical Association (AMA)
al- Karawi, Hasan Ujayl& al-Badri, Basim Hazim. An economic study for Iraq's rice imports for the period (1990-2015) and prediction for the peried (2016-2023). The Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Science. 2018. Vol. 49, no. 1, pp.43-49.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-838521
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 48-49
Record ID
BIM-838521